Well, this year I have seen 11 out of 32 movies. Whatever. Monetary issues are primarily what kept me from seeing all of them. It was a good exploration into the ones I did see though. Especially because I got to see Winter’s Bone and Animal Kingdom which I otherwise wouldn’t have seen.

Here are my semi-educated predictions for the evening:

Actor in a Leading Role
Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”

Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale in “The Fighter”

Actress in a Leading Role
Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”

Actress in a Supporting Role
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech” (although I wish Jacki Weaver would win)

Animated Feature Film
“Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich

Art Direction
“Alice in Wonderland” Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara

“Black Swan” Matthew Libatique

Costume Design
“Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood (by definition, this should win. But it might just be too obvious…)

“The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper

Film Editing
“The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

“The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

Music (Original Score)
“The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (I’d like to see Inception win though)

Music (Original Song)
“I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater

Best Picture
“The King’s Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers

Sound Editing
“Inception” Richard King

Sound Mixing
“Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick (Social Network better not win…)

Visual Effects
“Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
“The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin

Writing (Original Screenplay)
“The King’s Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler